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- Simon & Schuster 2015; US$ 21.95 US$ 15.50
At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics.... more...
- Oxford University Press 2000; US$ 32.99
This work provides a psychologically plausible notion of rationality that is based on heuristics -- simple rules for making decisions using realistic mental resources. It looks at when and how such simple heuristics work, compares decisions based on single and multiple reasons, and describes benefits in situations of having only limited knowledge. more...
- Penguin Publishing Group 2007; US$ 16.00
Why is split second decision-making superior to deliberation? Gut Feelings delivers the science behind Malcolm Gladwell?s Blink Reflection and reason are overrated, according to renowned psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer. Much better qualified to help us make decisions is the cognitive, emotional, and social repertoire we call intuition?a suite of gut... more...
- Oxford University Press, USA 2008; US$ 25.99
Gerd Gigerenzer's influential work examines the rationality of individuals not from the perspective of logic or probability, but from the point of view of adaptation to the real world of human behavior and interaction with the environment. Seen from this perspective, human behavior is more rational than it might otherwise appear. This work is extremely... more...
- Oxford University Press, USA 2002; US$ 33.99
Where do new ideas come from? What is social intelligence? Why do social scientists perform mindless statistical rituals? This vital book is about rethinking rationality as adaptive thinking: to understand how minds cope with their environments, both ecological and social. Gerd Gigerenzer proposes and illustrates a bold new research program that investigates... more...
- Penguin Books Ltd 2008; US$ 15.98
Think less ? and know more. A sportsman can catch a ball without calculating its speed or distance. A group of amateurs beat the experts at playing the stock market. A man falls for the right woman even though she?s ?wrong? on paper. All these people succeeded by trusting their instincts ? but how does it work? In Gut Feelings psychologist... more...
- Penguin Books Ltd 2003; US$ 15.98
"This is an important book, full of relevant examples and worrying case histories. By the end of it, the reader has been presented with a powerful set of tools for understanding statistics...anyone who wants to take responsibly for their own medicalchoices should read it" - New Scientist However much we crave certainty, we live in an uncertain world.... more...
- Penguin Publishing Group 2014; US$ 16.00
An eye-opening look at the ways we misjudge risk every day and a guide to making better decisions with our money, health, and personal lives In the age of Big Data we often believe that our predictions about the future are better than ever before. But as risk expert Gerd Gigerenzer shows, the surprising truth is that in the real world, we often... more...
- Penguin Books Ltd 2014; US$ 15.98
A fascinating, practical guide to making better decisions with our money, health and personal lives from Gerd Gigerenzer, the author of Reckoning with Risk . Risk-taking is essential for innovation, fun, and the courage to face the uncertainties in life. Yet for many important decisions, we're often presented with statistics and probabilities that... more...
- Taylor and Francis 2015; US$ 54.95
Originally published in 1987, this title is about theory construction in psychology. Where theories come from, as opposed to how they become established, was almost a no-man?s land in the history and philosophy of science at the time. The authors argue that in the science of mind, theories are particularly likely to come from tools, and they are especially... more...