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Decoupling from the East Toward the West? Analyses of Spillovers to the Baltic Countries

Decoupling from the East Toward the West? Analyses of Spillovers to the Baltic Countries by International Monetary Fund
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This paper uses VAR models to examine the magnitude and sources of growth spillovers to the Baltics from key trading partners, as well asfrom the real effective exchange rate (REER). Our results show there are significant cross-country spillovers to the Baltics with those from the EU outweighing spillovers from Russia. Shocks to the REER generally depress growth in the Baltics, and this intensifies over time. We also find that financial and trade channels dominate the transmission of spillovers to the region which partly explains the realization of downside risks to the Baltics from the global slowdown.
International Monetary Fund; June 2009
38 pages; ISBN 9781452730899
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Title: Decoupling from the East Toward the West? Analyses of Spillovers to the Baltic Countries
Author: International Monetary Fund
 
ISBNs
1451917015
9781451872729
9781451917017
9781452730899