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Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles

Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles by Vicente Tuesta
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A puzzle in international macroeconomics is that observed real exchange rates are highly volatile. Standard international real business cycle (IRBC) models cannot reproduce this fact. We show that TFP processes for the U.S. and the "rest of the world," is characterized by a vector error correction (VECM) and that adding cointegrated technology shocks to the standard IRBC model helps explaining the observed high real exchange rate volatility. Also we show that the observed increase of the real exchange rate volatility with respect to output in the last 20 year can be explained by changes in the parameter of the VECM.
International Monetary Fund; September 2009
54 pages; ISBN 9781452755106
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Title: Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles
Author: Vicente Tuesta; Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez; Pau Rabanal
 
ISBNs
1452755108
9781451873597
9781452755106