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Most popular at the top

  • After the Fall: Lessons for Policy Cooperation from the Global Crisisby Tamim Bayoumi

    International Monetary Fund 2014; US$ 9.00

    A crisis is a terrible thing to waste, and nowhere is this truer than in the arena of international economic policy cooperation. With the world facing the largest and most synchronized plunge in output of the postwar era, policy makers banded together to find solutions. This paper looks at the lessons from what did—and did not—occur in the area of... more...

  • The Dog That Didn't Barkby Tamim Bayoumi

    International Monetary Fund 2015; US$ 9.00

    This paper examines domestic policy cooperation, a curiously neglected issue. Bothinternational and domestic cooperation were live issues in the 1970s when the IS/LMmodel predicted very different external outcomes from monetary and fiscal policies.Interest in domestic policy cooperation has since fallen on hard intellectual times-withknock-ons to international... more...

  • The Dog That Didn't Barkby Tamim Bayoumi

    International Monetary Fund 2015; US$ 9.00

    This paper examines domestic policy cooperation, a curiously neglected issue. Bothinternational and domestic cooperation were live issues in the 1970s when the IS/LMmodel predicted very different external outcomes from monetary and fiscal policies.Interest in domestic policy cooperation has since fallen on hard intellectual times-withknock-ons to international... more...

  • Reversing the Financial Acceleratorby Tamim Bayoumi; Reginald Darius

    International Monetary Fund 2011; US$ 9.00

    This paper examines the role of credit markets in the transmission of U.S. macro-financial shocks through the prism of a financial conditions index (FCI) based on a vector autoregression (VAR) methodology. It explores the relative predictive power of market variables compared to credit standards/conditions. The main conclusion is that under plausible... more...

  • Apocalypse thenby Trung Bui; Tamim Bayoumi

    International Monetary Fund 2011; US$ 9.00

    The financial crisis, originated from the collapse of US housing markets in 2008, reverberates around the world. Its destructive force was felt nowhere more keenly than Western Europe. Indeed, it continues to mire in financial volatility as the debt problem contagiously spreads around the periphery Euro area. Taking a wider historical view of the evolution... more...

  • Global Bonding: Do U.S. Bond and Equity Spillovers Dominate Global Financial Markets?by Tamim Bayoumi; Trung Bui

    International Monetary Fund 2012; US$ 9.00

    This paper uses a novel variant of identification through hetroscedacity to estimate spillovers across U.S., Euro area, Japanese, and UK government bond and equity markets in a vector autoregression. The results suggest that U.S. financial shocks reverberate around the world much more strongly than shocks from other regions, including the Euro area,... more...

  • Unforeseen Events Wait Lurkingby Tamim Bayoumi; Trung Bui

    International Monetary Fund 2011; US$ 9.00

    Event studies are used to analyze the impact of U.S. financial, fiscal, and monetary policies from US to foreign asset prices across a range of G20 countries and Switzerland. The initial announcement that the Administration supported tighter regulation of banks led to a generalized fall in advanced economy bank shares compared to local equity markets.... more...

  • Do Inflows or Outflows Dominate? Global Implications of Capital Account Liberalization in Chinaby Tamim Bayoumi; Franziska Ohnsorge

    International Monetary Fund 2013; US$ 9.00

    This paper assesses the implications of Chinese capital account liberalization for capital flows. Stylized facts from capital account liberalization in advanced and large emerging market economies illustrate that capital account liberalization has historically generated large gross capital in- and outflows, but the direction of net flows has depended... more...

  • Accounting for Reservesby Tamim Bayoumi; Christian Saborowski

    International Monetary Fund 2012; US$ 9.00

    Views on the effectiveness of sterilized reserve intervention vary. Sterilized intervention is generally seen as ineffective in advanced countries while persistent intervention by some emerging markets is often cited as contributing to undervalued exchange rates and current account surpluses. This paper argues that capital controls reconcile these... more...

  • Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontentsby Tamim Bayoumi; Francis Vitek

    International Monetary Fund 2013; US$ 9.00

    The Great Recession underlined that policies in some countries can have profound spillovers elsewhere. Sadly, the solution of simulating large macroeconomic models to measure these spillovers has been found wanting. Typical models generate lower international correlations of output and financial asset prices than are seen in even pre-crisis data. Imposing... more...